Liverpool host Man United within the Premier League on Sunday, with the eight-day hole between video games highlighting a typical downside all through Jurgen Klopp‘s reign.
The Reds’ final conflict was the 4-1 win over Aston Villa within the FA Cup, with Klopp seeking to oversee “numerous 11 vs. 11 conditions” within the days after that in coaching.
This comes as a consequence of a uncommon, prolonged hole between fixtures this season, with United the guests to Anfield on January 17 – a full eight days after the third-round victory at Villa Park.
Whereas it may be seen as a constructive that Klopp, his employees and his gamers can get pleasure from a protracted, interrupted spell at Kirkby, the statistics counsel Liverpool battle after a break of between eight and 11 days particularly.
A examine performed by Reddit consumer voliton, analysing the outcomes of each aggressive recreation Klopp has been accountable for from 2016/17 to 2019/20, highlighted some eye-opening figures.
Specifically, Liverpool have misplaced 42.9 p.c of their video games after a break of between eight and 11 days.
Liverpool’s post-break struggles
- Liverpool’s win price after break of 8-11 days: 35.7%
- Liverpool’s loss price after break of 8-11 days: 42.9%
- Break of 12 days or extra: W62%, D19%, L19%
- 12+ day break, excluding worldwide breaks: W50%, D25%, L25%
voliton’s examine highlights that the Reds solely received 38.5 p.c of their video games after a break of eight to 11 days, dropping 46.1 p.c and drawing 15.4 p.c.
It needs to be famous that that is from a comparatively small pattern dimension of simply 13 video games over the previous 4 seasons, nevertheless it underlines a problem forward of the arrival of United to Anfield.
The Reds additionally had an eight-day break after the 7-0 win at Crystal Palace earlier this marketing campaign, which made means for a depressing 1-1 draw to West Brom on their return to motion.
This drops the win price to simply 35.7 p.c, with the loss price at 42.9 p.c.
“The primary concern is that, in line with this information, we’re f***ing terrible between eight and 11 days relaxation,” voliton concluded. “The pattern dimension is small (simply 13 video games) however barely a win in that interval is just not nice.”
Moreover, it’s value stressing that these figures will not be primarily based on video games after worldwide breaks – with these breaks being longer – which opens up the controversy over the strategy Liverpool take when given a protracted interval of coaching time at Kirkby.
Curiously, although, the outcomes do enhance after the 11-day mark, with a win price of 62 p.c following a break of 12 days or extra; Liverpool misplaced simply 19 p.c of these 21 video games.
However nonetheless placing is how of these 21 video games, the win price drops to 50 p.c when solely contemplating people who haven’t come after worldwide breaks.
The Reds have received 4 (50%), drawn two (25%) and misplaced two (25%) of fixtures coming after a non-international break of 12 days or extra – albeit with a type of defeats being within the Champions League last in 2019.
It could be remiss to query the methodology of Klopp and his employees relating to coaching and restoration, as solely they’re aware about the nuances of Liverpool’s preparation, however the statistics do level to an issue that requires an answer.
Hopefully, these “11 vs. 11 conditions” will help the Reds tackle this with a much-needed win of their title conflict with United this weekend.