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Polls have closed and counting is beneath means in Victorian election
And right here we go – the polls have now closed in Victoria’s state election. It’ll be a gradual begin to the night because the counting will get underway.
On the final election in 2018, Labor received 55 out of 88 seats within the decrease home, leaving the Coalition with simply 27 seats.
You’ll keep in mind it was heralded as a “Dan slide’ and Labor are little question hoping for the same end result this night – the polls present they could lose some seats.
Let’s take a look at the state of play:
There are 88 seats up for grabs and to type majority authorities a celebration must win 45 of them. Polls have predicted Labor to win a 3rd time period, however it’s beneath menace in key areas. There was various chatter a few potential minority authorities.
A Newspoll revealed on Friday evening confirmed Labor on observe to return regardless of a swing in opposition to it of virtually three per cent.
Labor begins on 55 decrease home seats. Newspoll, which is revealed by The Australian, has it on observe to maintain 45 to 50 seats.
The coalition has 27 seats and should decide up an additional 18 to manipulate outright.
Nevertheless, the most recent Resolve ballot indicated Labor might lose between eight and 12 seats, placing it at risk of slipping into minority authorities, when it must depend on the Greens or independents to get a working majority.
Impartial consultancy RedBridge Group forecasts Labor to finish up with between 41 to 48 seats and the coalition to complete within the vary of 27 to 33 seats.
Some election outcomes can come right down to lower than a handful of votes. Listed here are the seats the place it’s anticipated to get right down to the wire:
Labor is vulnerable to dropping Melton, Werribee, Level Prepare dinner, Hawthorn and Field Hill, while the Greens are hoping to select up the Labor seats of Northcote, Richmond and Albert Park.
The teals are anticipated to be an issue for the Liberal social gathering tonight, threatening the seats of Kew, which is being vacated by Tim Smith, Hawthorn and Brighton.
It’s going to be a giant evening. Let’s get into it!
Recap of the Guardian’s Victorian election protection
It’s been a protracted and eventful (and soiled) Victorian election marketing campaign. Forward of polls closing, let’s revisit a number of the tales that punctuated our protection.
Earlier than the marketing campaign correct started, Margaret Simons detailed Daniel Andrews’ political methodology as Labor premier: hard-boiled, pared down, sensible and generally ruthless train of energy.
Andrews himself described this election because the ugliest he’s fought as Labor’s chief, whereas placing ladies on the centre of his social gathering’s marketing campaign.
After weeks of controversies that plagued each events, Matthew Man sought a reset on Monday, focusing on voters disenchanted with Andrews with a brand new pitch for the Coalition: “We’re secure.”
The driving forces behind the Greens chief Samantha Ratnam – together with the teachings she’s realized since claiming in 2018 that the social gathering and Labor would type the “most progressive authorities this state has seen” – had been outlined forward of what may very well be a powerful end result for the social gathering.
We’ve detailed guarantees made by Labor, the Coalition and the Greens – in addition to the 5 points that had been notably absent through the marketing campaign.
In fact, there may be additionally a useful video abstract (replete with electoral map shirts) of the seats to look at.
What we have realized up to now at the moment, Saturday 26 November
And with that, this South Australian goes handy over to the fellows that stole our Grand Prix. Cait Kelly will helm the weblog because the polls shut and outcomes begin to roll in for the 2022 Victorian election.
We’ve bought the entire crack state group on the job. Get began with this piece on all of the issues you have to know.
Right here’s the wrap of the non-election information from at the moment:
And now, on with the (Victorian) present!
Is it even an election if an animal’s predictive powers haven’t been deployed? Matilda Boseley put her cat Astro on the job:
The countdown is on – shortly we’ll swap to masking the Victorian election outcomes. However first, a special kind of countdown! Rocket launches threaten the susceptible (and lovable) southern emu wren:
Purple, teal, crimson and blue. Benita Kolovos seems at what’s coming for you (in Victoria, that’s):
In search of an alternative choice to the Victorian election protection? Mostafa Rachwani has you lined – right here’s methods to catch the Socceroos once they tackle Tunisia tonight:
On the ABC Adelaide’s gardening present this morning, a listener phoned in fairly involved that she too could also be cultivating opium poppies. Right here’s the story from Khaled Al Khawaldeh:
Final food-and-election-based publish (nicely, no guarantees). Apparently the democracy sausage purists have all of it fallacious. Anna Spargo-Ryan says it needs to be a cakewalk:
There was some chatter earlier on social media a few polling sales space in Richmond promoting oysters and bubbles … so I went in quest of extra info. Wow. (Additionally, what’s a Vietnamese sausage roll?)
Coalition says extradition of alleged Islamic State fighter to Australia could be ‘acceptable’
Extra on the return of the alleged Australian Islamic State fighter Neil Prakash to Australia.
The Liberal frontbencher Paul Fletcher has stated the Coalition believed the extradition of Prakash to Australia was “acceptable”. He stated:
He ought to face the judicial course of right here, in fact he ought to, and he must be tried for the crimes that he’s alleged to have dedicated, which in fact are very severe crimes.
The house affairs minister, Clare O’Neil, declined to touch upon the experiences, as did the Australian federal police.
There isn’t any clear timeframe on his return.
Return of alleged Australian Islamic State fighter’s citizenship could be a ‘game-changer’, professional says
The constitutional lawyer George Williams says he’s unsurprised by experiences the alleged Australian Islamic State fighter Neil Prakash shall be returned dwelling to face court docket, describing the choice to return Prakash’s citizenship as a “game-changer”.
Prakash, a former rapper from Melbourne, is alleged to have actively recruited Australians to Islamic State and to have inspired acts of militancy.
He’s set to be extradited from Turkey to face a spread of costs that might end in him being jailed for all times, a report within the Australian revealed on Saturday.
The now 31-year-old was caught making an attempt to sneak throughout the border from Syria into Turkey beneath false papers in 2016, and was sentenced to seven-and-a-half years in jail.
Whereas in jail, he was stripped of his Australian citizenship beneath new legal guidelines that allowed twin nationals to lose their Australian standing – he was believed to even be a Fijian citizen, however Fiji insisted this was not the case. Worldwide legal guidelines forbid rendering an individual stateless.
The Australian dwelling affairs minister on the time, Peter Dutton, stated “twin residents who select to be concerned in terrorism forfeit the privileges of Australian citizenship”.
Prakash was then reportedly launched into immigration detention in February this 12 months, a number of years early.
The Australian authorities’s energy to take away citizenship was struck down by the excessive court docket in June this 12 months, thereby restoring citizenship to those that had misplaced it. (The Albanese authorities is planning to introduce new, comparable legal guidelines).
Prof Williams, from the College of New South Wales, stated he was unsurprised Prakash was coming again now that he was as soon as once more a citizen. He stated:
The very fact he’s a citizen is a sport changer, it means he’s our downside. Our guidelines apply.
You may think about if each nation world wide stripped citizenship from individuals regarded as terrorists, we’d all be abdicating [our responsibility].
Williams stated Australia had loads of powers to take care of Prakash if he’s discovered responsible:
The federal government has a formidable vary of offences and powers at is disposal to make sure the justice system works on this occasion and the group is saved secure. It could be he’s charged with coming into a declared space, which comes with a prolonged jail time period. It may very well be being a member of a terrorist organisation … there’s an inventory.
And even when that wasn’t a difficulty, there are management orders and different mechanisms to observe an individual who’s not incarcerated.
Williams stated that, had Prakash remained a non-citizen, he would possibly by no means have been pressured to return to Australia.
If Caitlin Cassidy’s story earlier left you wanting extra, listed below are … extra seaside bums from Bondi (what’s the collective noun for bums? A cheek? A glute?):