For starters, I like to recommend you learn my pal Andrei Martyanov’s article, This Is Getting Curiouser And Curiouser. Turkey has taken middle stage in international affairs this week, with vital implications for Turkey’s tightening relationship with Russia and warning indicators for Turkey’s relationships with NATO and america.
Following a terrorist bombing in Istanbul — attributed to the Kurdish Staff Celebration by Turkish authorities — Turkey’s Overseas Minister advised america to go screw itself.
In accordance with the breaking information, Inside Minister Süleyman Soylu mentioned in an announcement after the explosion on Istanbul Taksim Istiklal Road, “We don’t settle for the condolence message of the US Embassy. If we had not caught the attacker, he would have fled to Greece at present.” mentioned.
Minister Soylu mentioned, “Operations proceed. All of our safety, safety forces, and all intelligence models are on alert collectively. We mentioned what we have been going to say final evening. We all know how the incident was coordinated. We all know the way it was coordinated.“We are going to bury our our bodies. We’ve got simply despatched our Ecrin to Adana and despatched his father. It have to be mentioned. We all know the message that was given to us, we acquired the message that was given to us and we all know what the message was given to us. We are going to ship a really sturdy message to this message,” he mentioned.
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https://www.cnnturk.com/video/turkiye/son-dakika-istiklal-caddesinde-pkk-saldirisi-bakan-soylu-abdnin-taziyesini-kabul-etmiyoruzpercentC2percentAD
Let me translate — Turkey blames america for the assault due to its function in funding and arming the Kurds in Syria and Iraq. The Authorities of Turkey has been at struggle with the Kurdish Employee’s Celebration (i.e., PKK) because the Nineteen Seventies. Full disclosure, my former boss at State Division, Ambassador Morris Busby, and I have been employed in 1996 (after we left the service of the US Authorities) by the Authorities of Turkey to provide a research concerning Greek help for the PKK. Here’s a shocker — we concluded that the Greek authorities offered monetary help to the PKK, making the Greeks a de facto state sponsor of terrorism, not less than within the eyes of Turkey.
The assertion by Turkey’s Inside Minister is not only a passing, emotional response. He’s sending Biden and his crew a transparent message — we blame you for this. Fairly a possible rupture of the method to carry two new NATO members into the fold. That is more likely to make Turkey much more decided to press Sweden and Finland to cease harboring PKK members. Except the 2 aspiring NATO candidates undergo Turkey’s calls for, Turkey will proceed to dam their admission. This can create a dilemma for NATO. Press Sweden and Finland to accede to Turkey’s place on the matter or ignore Turkey and danger Turkey withdrawing from NATO.
Turkey seems to be relishing its rising affect as a global political dealer. It was the location of futile peace talks in Could between Russia and Ukraine. It has performed a key function in brokering the deal to permit Ukrainian grain to be shipped ostensibly to needy nations. And yesterday (Monday), the Russian and US spy chiefs met in Turkey:
Experiences have circulated in Russian media about secret US-Russian talks hosted by Türkiye. The Kommersant each day reported, citing nameless sources, that the un-announced assembly is allegedly being held on Monday within the Turkish capital Ankara. The outlet reviews that Moscow has despatched Sergey Naryshkin, director of Russia’s Overseas Intelligence Service, or SVR, to the talks. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov later confirmed to Russian media that bilateral talks had taken place in Ankara, including that they have been held on the US’ initiative. Earlier this month, Western media reported that high Russian and US officers have been participating in undeclared contacts. In accordance with the Wall Road Journal, US national-security adviser Jake Sullivan has been engaged with Yury Ushakov, a senior overseas coverage aide to President Vladimir Putin, and with Nikolay Patrushev, Sullivan’s counterpart within the Russian authorities.
https://www.rt.com/russia/566501-russia-us-secret-talks/
I agree with Moon of Alabama’s conclusion that Washington’s declare concerning the goal of the assembly is fake:
The Biden administration has now confirmed that CIA head Burns has met with Naryshkin. However it’s mendacity concerning the content material of the talks:
- William J. Burns, the director of the Central Intelligence Company, met together with his Russian counterpart in Turkey on Monday to warn Russia towards the usage of nuclear weapons in Ukraine, a White Home spokesman mentioned.
- The Nationwide Safety Council mentioned Mr. Burns’s assembly in Ankara was not in any manner meant to barter or to debate any settlement of the struggle in Ukraine. Ukraine was briefed upfront on the journey, the spokesman mentioned.
- President Biden has insisted that Ukraine, and never america, will dictate if and when negotiations begin to finish the struggle.
Russia has not threatened to make use of nuclear weapons. There is no such thing as a cause for it to take action and lots of good cause to chorus from utilizing them. It could foremost alienate China and different Russian allies. It was actually the U.S. which planted nuclear scare tales in one other of its makes an attempt to smear Russia. The U.S. in fact is aware of that there isn’t any hazard that Russia would use nukes and it’s probably that Burns didn’t even point out them.
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/11/us-russia-intelligence-chiefs-discuss-ukraine.html#extra
The US requested for this assembly. Not Russia. If you issue that in with Normal Mark Milley’s name for Ukraine to entertain negotiations with Russia, it is a clear signal that america has rising considerations about Ukraine’s prospects for achievement and Washington’s skill to maintain funneling cash into the Black Gap of Kiev:
Gen. Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Employees. In accordance with US officers, Milley “has made the case in inner conferences that the Ukrainians have achieved about as a lot as they may moderately anticipate on the battlefield earlier than winter units in and so they need to attempt to cement their features on the bargaining desk.”
The highest US normal has made no secret of his stance. “When there’s a chance to barter, when peace might be achieved, seize it,” Milley declared in a public speech this week.
https://mate.substack.com/p/urging-peace-with-russia-top-us-general
If Ukraine actually did have Russia on the ropes, with victory in its grasp, why would anybody in Washington wish to encourage Ukrainian President Zelensky to barter? Western euphoria about Russia’s tactical withdrawal from town of Kherson, is masking the rising strain from the residents of NATO nations to halt monetary help to Ukraine whereas they endure with rising costs and contracting economies. A Spanish satirical journal, El Jueves (“Jueves” means “Thursday”, and the picture of the newest cowl incorporates the tag line, “La Revista Que Sale Los Miercoles, which interprets to “The Journal that Comes Out on Wednesday”) did its tackle current Instances Sq. advert that described Zelensky as a “Black Gap.”
Retired German Colonel Ralph Thiele, chairman of the Politisch-Militärische Gesellschaft e.V. (Political army Society, a German non-profit affiliation), made a startling admission in a slipshod effort to help the propaganda that Ukraine is marching in the direction of victory. He wrote:
“The Ukrainians are at the moment “on a successful run” and wish to “proceed this, in fact, however it is going to be tough for them.” That’s as a result of, “The Ukrainians are working out of younger males, they already must draft over 45-year-olds to fill the gaps within the troops.” The Russians, then again, are coaching 120,000 younger males proper now, he mentioned.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/20274 https://net.de/journal/consent-management/
It seems that this retired German Colonel is aware of his historical past. Within the remaining days of the Third Reich, Adolf Hitler was drafting outdated males to select up weapons to defend Berlin as a result of there have been not army aged males to name to the duty.
One remaining knowledge level (additionally famous by Andrei Martyanov and Moon of Alabama) — america not has extra 155 mm howitzer shells to ship to Ukraine and is seeking to South Korea to pony up 100,000 rounds:
Information of the switch, first reported by the Wall Road Journal, comes because the US has warned that North Korea is secretly supplying Russia with artillery shells for the struggle in Ukraine. The supposed transfers from each Pyongyang and Seoul spotlight the strain the struggle has placed on the protection industrial bases of US and Russia.
“There’s no query that it’s put strain on our personal stockpiles,” mentioned Colin Kahl, Beneath Secretary of Protection for Coverage, chatting with reporters at a digital assembly of George Washington College’s Challenge for Media and Nationwide Safety. “It’s put strain on our personal industrial base. That’s been true of our allies.”
https://version.cnn.com/2022/11/11/politics/us-artillery-south-korea-ukraine
For those who suppose that 100,000 artillery rounds is sufficient to maintain Ukrainian army operations, suppose once more. In accordance with Valery Zaluzhnyi, commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, the Russians are capturing 60,000 rounds a day. If Ukraine was firing at that very same price, the 100,000 rounds could be expended in two days. Then what? The truth that the struggle is coming into its ninth month and america has not been capable of ramp up manufacturing of 155 mm howitzer shells is an additional reminder that the protection manufacturing functionality of america has been hollowed out.
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